2

Lavida Adiva

7yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 136

Wetherby · bet365 Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (GBB Race) · 3m 26y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent mare who resumed winning ways in 3m listed hurdle at Doncaster in December. Produced a career best with the hood quickly discarded on her return to a handicap when runner-up in Pertemps Final before shaping better than result in a Grade 1 at Aintree.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Kelso 22/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 120 · 3m100y GS 154 · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 120 par22/031OR 1202 @ Ayr 12/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 126 · 3m70y Goo 165 · below its mark12/04/2025 · OR 126 par3 @ Ayr 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 130 · 3m70y Sft 161 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 130 par1/113OR 1302 @ Market Rasen 26/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 130 · 2m7f16y GS 167 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 130 par1 @ Doncaster 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 130 · 3m84y Goo 158 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 130 par13/121OR 1301 @ Doncaster 24/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 131 · 3m84y Sft 160 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 131 par1 @ Haydock 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 133 · 3m58y GS 153 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 133 par14/021OR 1331 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR 133 · 2m7f213y Goo 149 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 133 par1 @ Aintree 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 136 · 3m149y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 136 par11/041OR 136projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11AintreeHarry Cobden17th7th+0
2026-03-12CheltenhamB S Hughes12nd3rd−1
2026-02-14HaydockB S Hughes13rd3rd0
2026-01-24DoncasterB S Hughes14th4th0
2025-12-13DoncasterB S Hughes11st2nd−0
2025-11-26Market RasenC O'Farrell24th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0326/1114/0211/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
12/04/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
01/11/20253rd11/271%67%-0.04
26/11/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
13/12/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
24/01/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
14/02/20263rd14/126%50%+0.24
12/03/20262nd22/10%96%+0.96
11/04/20267th28/10%40%+0.40