Strong Leader
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 153
Wetherby · bet365 Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (GBB Race) · 3m 26y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | S Bowen | 1 | +0 | ||
| 2026-01-24 | Cheltenham | S Bowen | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Ascot | S Bowen | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Newbury | S Bowen | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Wetherby | S Bowen | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aintree | S Bowen | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/11/2024 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/12/2024 | 10th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 25/01/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |