Take No Chances
8yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 148
Wetherby · bet365 Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (GBB Race) · 3m 26y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chepstow | Harry Atkins | 1 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | Harry Skelton | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | Harry Skelton | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Windsor | Harry Skelton | 2 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-11-28 | Newbury | Harry Skelton | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Wetherby | Harry Skelton | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/04/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 10/10/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |