1
Hitman
10yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 152
Wetherby · bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) · 3m 45y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Aintree | Freddie Gingell | 1 | −1 | ||
| 2026-01-17 | Ascot | Freddie Gingell | 2 | −2 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Huntingdon | Freddie Gingell | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aintree | Freddie Gingell | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Sandown | Freddie Gingell | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aintree | Freddie Gingell | 1 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 14/03/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/04/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 27/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 26/04/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |