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Pic D'Orhy

11yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 162

Wetherby · bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) · 3m 45y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

45%

Place Prob

45%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran high-class chaser who won a second Grade 1 Ascot Chase early last year. Looked as good as ever when second in this (on return) before finding only Jonbon too strong when bidding for a third Ascot Chase last season. Should prove hard to beat starting out for Skelton.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Ascot 25/11/2023 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 162 · 2m5f8y Gd 164 · beat its mark25/11/2023 · OR 162 par25/111OR 1621 @ Kempton 13/01/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 162 · 2m4f110y Goo 162 · below its mark13/01/2024 · OR 162 par1 @ Ascot 17/02/2024 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 162 · 2m5f8y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/02/2024 · OR 162 par17/021OR 1621 @ Ascot 23/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 161 · 2m5f8y Gd 164 · beat its mark23/11/2024 · OR 161 par1 @ Ascot 15/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 161 · 2m5f8y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/02/2025 · OR 161 par15/021OR 1611 @ Wetherby 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 162 · 3m45y Gd 164 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 162 par1 @ Ascot 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 162 · 2m5f13y Goo 164 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 162 par22/111OR 1621 @ Ascot 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 162 · 2m5f13y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 162 par1 @ Aintree 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 162 · 3m210y GS 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 162 par9/041OR 162projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-09AintreeHarry Cobden13rd3rd+0
2026-02-14AscotHarry Cobden12nd2nd+0
2025-11-22AscotHarry Cobden13rd3rd0
2025-11-01WetherbyHarry Cobden12nd2nd0
2025-04-26SandownHarry Cobden10
2025-02-15AscotHarry Cobden11st1st+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1123/1122/119/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/20231st5/287%100%+0.13
13/01/20242nd5/287%75%-0.12
17/02/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
23/11/20241st4/998%100%+0.02
15/02/20251st9/591%100%+0.09
01/11/20252nd5/174%75%+0.01
22/11/20253rd7/282%50%-0.32
14/02/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
09/04/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13