Banderas
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 113
Wetherby · Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Uttoxeter | Jonathan England | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-10-02 | Hexham | Jonathan England | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | O J Orr | 5 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Hexham | R P McLernon | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | Jonathan England | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Worcester | Jonathan England | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/09/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 02/10/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 16/10/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |