3
Klitschko
8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 116
Wetherby · Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Sedgefield | B S Hughes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Kelso | B S Hughes | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | Danny McMenamin | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-09 | Catterick | B S Hughes | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-01-21 | Catterick | B S Hughes | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Doncaster | B S Hughes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/10/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/10/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |