3

Slaney Opera

8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 100

Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 45y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Already with his fifth yard but he didn't have to improve off a career-low mark to make a winning start for this stable at Uttoxeter 2 weeks ago after 3 months off. This tougher but could have more to offer for new trainer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 25/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 98 · 3m2f59y Goo 162 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 98 par25/015OR 984 @ Wetherby 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 100 · 3m45y Gd 159 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Fakenham 13/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 101 · 3m5f24y Gd 168 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 101 par13/045OR 1015 @ Bangor-on-Dee 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 100 · 3m30y Goo 164 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Huntingdon 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 100 · 2m7f129y Goo 168 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 100 par25/055OR 1005 @ Bangor-on-Dee 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 98 · 3m30y Goo 168 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 98 par4 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 96 · 3m1f107y Gd 144 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 96 par20/074OR 965 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 96 · 3m10y Gd 164 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 96 par4 @ Uttoxeter 16/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 96 · 3m10y Gd 154 · beat its mark16/10/2026 · OR 96 par16/104OR 96projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16UttoxeterJamie Hamilton41st1st0
2026-07-24UttoxeterHarry Reed53rd4th−1
2026-07-20CartmelHarry Reed42nd2nd0
2026-07-13Newton AbbotHarry Reed40
2026-06-26Bangor-on-DeeKielan Woods55th6th−1
2026-05-25HuntingdonHarry Reed53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0116/0520/0716/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
27/03/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
13/04/20263rd5/287%33%-0.54
16/05/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
25/05/20263rd11/486%33%-0.52
26/06/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
20/07/20262nd2/189%50%-0.39
24/07/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
16/10/20261st12/137%100%+0.63