4
Sledgehammer
6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 92
Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 45y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Hexham | Charlie Maggs | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | Oakley Brown | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | Ricky Doyle | BHA87 | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | Mr T A Halford | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | Mr T A Halford | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | Mr T A Halford | ? | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/10/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |