
Edey
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Luis Reyes | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | Ben Curtis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | Julio Felix | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 27/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |