6

Edey

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 86

Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turfway Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS10/01C6C6 @ Turfway Park 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Turfway Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 83 par8/03C6OR 83C5 @ Woodbine 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par6/06C7OR 87C6 @ Woodbine 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Woodbine 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 91 par22/08C6OR 91C7 @ Woodbine 27/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 92 par27/09C7OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27WoodbineLuis Reyes?4th3rd+1
2026-08-22WoodbineLuis Reyes?4th2nd+2
2026-07-11WoodbineLuis Reyes?2nd0th+2
2026-06-06Churchill DownsBen Curtis?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-25WoodbineRyan Munger?4th0th+3
2026-03-08Turfway ParkJulio Felix?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0125/0422/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
12/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
08/03/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
25/04/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
06/06/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
11/07/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
22/08/20264th13/891%25%-0.66
27/09/20264th11/1094%50%-0.44