Let's Go Souper
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | Sofia Vives | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | Sofia Vives | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 27/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |