Vegas Road
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 17/10/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |