Hawberry
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | Slade Jones | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 26/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |