8
Society's Kat
6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 8 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | Eswan Flores | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 08/10/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |