Souper Diva
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | Jose Campos | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 24/10/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |