6
Closing Appeal
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 01/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |