9

Definite Diva

6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 76

Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Monmouth Park 29/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 92 par29/06C5OR 92C8 @ Monmouth Park 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Woodbine 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 84 par9/05C7OR 84C7 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 7f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 83 par4/07C7OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Woodbine 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 78 par27/08C7OR 78C8 @ Woodbine 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 73 · 6f 123 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Woodbine 08/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark08/10/2026 · OR 76 par8/10C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-08WoodbineEswan Flores?3rd3rd0
2026-09-17WoodbineEswan Flores?5th5th0
2026-08-27WoodbineEswan Flores?6th5th+1
2026-08-08WoodbineEswan Flores?5th4th+1
2026-07-04WoodbineSahin Civaci?7th6th+1
2026-06-05WoodbineEmma Jayne Wilson?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/065/0627/088/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
13/07/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
09/05/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
05/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
04/07/20267th4/179%0%-0.79
08/08/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
27/08/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
17/09/20265th11/271%20%-0.51
08/10/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02