5
Momanda
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Woodbine | Juan Crawford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | Daisuke Fukumoto | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/10/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |