Party Hotline
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-10-08 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 08/10/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 22/10/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |