2
Scat Humor
5yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | Luis Contreras | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | Luis Contreras | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | Keveh Nicholls | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 01/10/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 15/10/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |