5
Arami's Speighster
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Fort Erie | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Fort Erie | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | Da Sean Gaskin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | Luis Reyes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fort Erie | Kirk Johnson | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 29/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 19/10/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |