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Sonofaghost

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 76

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength28%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C5OR 80C8 @ Woodbine 16/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 6f110y 119 · below its mark16/10/2026 · OR 74 par16/10C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16WoodbineLuis Contreras?6th6th0
2026-09-07Fort ErieLuis Contreras?8th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +57.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20268th8/158%22%-0.36
16/10/20266th16/116%38%+0.22