1

Full Star

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 61

Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 41 · 6f110y 121 · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 41 par8/11C9OR 41C9 @ Woodbine 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 46 parC9 @ Woodbine 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 46 · 7f Fas 121 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 46 par7/12C9OR 46C7 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 49 · 7f110y Fm 118 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 49 parC7 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 51 par24/07C7OR 51C9 @ Woodbine 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 54 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 54 parC9 @ Woodbine 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 6f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 58 par7/09C9OR 58C9 @ Woodbine 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 63 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 63 parC7 @ Woodbine 09/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m 119 · beat its mark09/10/2026 · OR 64 par9/10C7OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09WoodbineChristoff Douglas?3rd3rd0
2026-09-25WoodbineJodeien Anderson?7th9th−2
2026-09-07WoodbineJodeien Anderson?3rd5th−2
2026-08-16WoodbineJodeien Anderson?4th6th−2
2026-07-24WoodbineJodeien Anderson?8th8th0
2026-07-06WoodbineJodeien Anderson?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/116/077/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
30/11/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
07/12/20254th12/137%50%+0.13
06/07/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
24/07/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
16/08/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
07/09/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
25/09/20267th9/276%25%-0.51
09/10/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78