6
Raging Timber
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | Jalon Samuel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 29/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 38% | -0.55 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |