5
Red Destiny
2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 71
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | Leo Salles | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |