7

Whitemudwest

2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 7 · OR 69

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS1/08C6C5 @ Woodbine 30/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 81 par30/08C5OR 81C5 @ Woodbine 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 70 par13/09C5OR 70C5 @ Woodbine 18/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2026 · OR 69 par18/10C5OR 69projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18WoodbineRafael Hernandez?5th3rd+2
2026-09-13WoodbineRafael Hernandez?5th3rd+2
2026-08-30WoodbineJose Campos?12th10th+2
2026-08-01WoodbineJose Campos?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0830/0813/0918/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 31/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -22.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78
30/08/202612th20/10%0%0.00
13/09/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
18/10/20265th14/126%33%+0.07