Majaz
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Belmont Park | Javier Castellano | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | Edgard Zayas | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | J Mitchell | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 24/10/2025 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 04/10/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |