1
Noche De Damas
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | Jose Campos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | D Egan | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · tight 77/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 10/10/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |