Madame Obey
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Woodbine | Fraser Aebly | ? | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 18/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |