IvyArcIvyArc
4

Mew N Me

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 91

Woodbine · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 88 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 88 par25/10C6OR 88C6 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Woodbine 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 91 par12/12C6OR 91C6 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f Fas 124 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 124 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 83 par4/07C7OR 83C6 @ Woodbine 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 7f110y Fm 122 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 87 par29/08C6OR 87C6 @ Woodbine 26/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 90 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Woodbine 17/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 91 · 7f 122 · beat its mark17/10/2026 · OR 91 par17/10C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17WoodbineDaisuke Fukumoto?1st1st0
2026-09-26WoodbineDaisuke Fukumoto?3rd3rd0
2026-08-29WoodbineDaisuke Fukumoto?2nd2nd0
2026-08-01WoodbineDaisuke Fukumoto?4th4th0
2026-07-04WoodbineFraser Aebly?1st2nd−1
2026-05-30WoodbineJose Campos?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1030/0529/0817/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
15/11/20252nd5/174%83%+0.10
12/12/20253rd7/282%71%-0.10
30/05/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
04/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
01/08/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
29/08/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
26/09/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13
17/10/20261st10/147%100%+0.53