5
Talent Show
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |