5

Ez Miss Sassy

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 66

Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

58%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11928/05C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 6f 119 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 68 par28/06C6OR 68C6 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 76 par26/07C6OR 76C6 @ Woodbine 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 1m 118 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 57 par22/08C6OR 57C0 @ Woodbine 12/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 62 par12/09C?OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12WoodbineRomero Maragh?9th2nd+6
2026-08-22WoodbineRomero Maragh?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Ellis ParkAxel Concepcion?9th9th0
2026-06-28Churchill DownsIrad Ortiz Jr?6th6th0
2026-05-28Churchill DownsIrad Ortiz Jr?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0528/0626/0722/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20265th1/195%20%-0.75
28/06/20266th9/276%55%-0.22
26/07/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
22/08/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
12/09/20269th33/10%20%+0.20