2

Glorious Gem

2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 87

Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f 11813/09C6C5 @ Woodbine 04/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 90 · 1m110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 90 par4/10C5OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04WoodbineRafael Hernandez?4th2nd+2
2026-09-13WoodbineRafael Hernandez?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/094/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -14.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
04/10/20264th6/168%67%-0.02