1
Willing Guest
2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 51/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |