6
Lapin De Plage
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | David Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Austin Adams | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 03/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |