4
Lively Up
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Woodbine | Jeffrey Alderson | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | Sofia Vives | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +62.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |