9
Secretly Delighted
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kentucky Downs | Jose Ortiz | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | Javier Castellano | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 73% | -0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 10/10/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |