5
Unforgettable Face
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | Pietro Moran | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | Romero Maragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | Nathan Crosse | ? | 26th | 26th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Leopardstown | Billy Lee | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.14 |
| 27/09/2025 | 26th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 04/10/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |