13:47 · Naas

Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap

5f 205yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 877/1
Amiata silks

W P Richards

3yo Gelding · 10-0

Dark Angel - Hummingbird (Fast Company)

Colin Keane60%3/9G M Lyons60%
455141
9.0Going 8.0

Usually patiently ridden of late and overcame traffic issues when winning handicap over this C&D in April. Also landed 12-runner contest at the Curragh (5f) in June and he's much respected, even if he does need things to drop right.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par12/124/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par11/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par19/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%12/12Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 56%11/04Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%19/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%3/06
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
2
OR 737/1
Gotta Catch'em All silks

Mrs S Bury & Ralph Kelly & Odhran O'Neill & Thomas Cox

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Free Eagle - Allegra Tak (Invincible Spirit)

Siobhan Rutledge2/9H Rogers60%
769611
9.0
Blinkers

Fitted with blinkers and dropped in trip, got off the mark at Navan (5.8f) on first start last month. Built on that effort when following up in 10-runner contest over C&D 12 days ago and he can make a bold bid for the hat-trick.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/0425/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par18/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par22/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%12/04Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%18/05Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 7816/1
Spodo Komodo silks

D Farrington

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Advertise - M'as Tu Vu (Falco)

Ronan Whelan60%1/4J Feane
443102
6.0Going 8.0

Off the mark at the Curragh (6f) on fourth and final start last year. Stepped forward from this season's reappearance when second of 8 in handicap at this course (7f) 12 days ago, though was outbattled in the finish.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0312/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%21/03Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%21/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%26/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%22/07
Projected finish3rd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 738/1
Clonmacash silks

Mark Devlin/J Mackle/Skylark Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Charming Thought - Orientate (Equiano)

Declan McDonogh0/1A McGuinness70%
535437
4.0
Visor

Successful twice at Dundalk this year and had been holding his form well prior to being left poorly placed in handicap at Ayr 2 weeks ago. More needed, though, if he's to score in this grade.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/057/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par27/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%26/05Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%11/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%20/07
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
5
OR 716/1
Flaming Rib silks

Dooley Thoroughbreds

7yo Gelding · 9-2

Ribchester - Suddenly (Excelebration)

Shane Foley60%0/1A McGuinness80%
940548
3.0
1st Visor +2

Smart performer at his best for Hugo Palmer. However, he's without a win since early 2023 and failed to build on an in-frame effort at Down Royal when 8 lengths eighth of 10 to Gotta Catch'em All over this C&D 12 days ago. Visor reached for.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0921/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par17/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/12 · mark par4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%27/09Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%17/12Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%19/06Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 22%22/07
Projected finish5th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
Market Fav7
OR 756/4
Lohoobb silks

Mac Group KSA

3yo Colt · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Zoowraa (Azamour)

Billy Lee60%M C Grassick
245252
5.0

Fairly useful maiden who posted a good second of 7 in handicap at Ffos Las (6f) in June, leading 1f out until the dying strides. Free-going type who is one to note making first start since leaving Owen Burrows.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/0614/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%3/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%2/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 56%12/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 83%23/06
Projected finish6th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 8422/1
Gavoo silks

A Touch Of Leather Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Elzaam - Daddy's Gal (Scat Daddy)

Luke McAteer2/9D Marnane60%
514925
4.0Going 8.0
Visor

Successful twice last year, including minor event at Dundalk in November. Has shaped as if still in good heart this season, in first-time visor when never-nearer fifth of 20 in the Scurry Handicap at the Curragh 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/0714/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par24/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%31/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 77%9/05Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 0%24/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 79%18/07
Projected finish7th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 8340/1
Red Evolution silks

J Kirkland

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Mehmas - Transcendence (Arcano)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%1/2M O'Callaghan90%
721407
4.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Developed into a useful performer last year with 3 victories. Hasn't matched that form in a trio of starts this season, seventh of 20 in the Scurry at the Curragh 16 days ago, but he's been given a chance by the handicapper. Interesting with tongue strap fitted.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/0629/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par25/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par28/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 54%4/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%28/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 68%18/07
Projected finish8th of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
10
OR 7611/2
Smoke Them Out silks

Mrs Pauline McCourt & Stephen Sweeney

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Sands Of Mali - Night Secret (Dark Angel)

Sadhbh Tormey1/5−7lbT G McCourt
160203
5.0

All 3 career victories over 6f, the latest at the Curragh in March. Form has been mixed since, leaving behind a lesser effort when staying on for third in 5-runner contest at Bellewstown (5f) a month ago. Needs to back that up.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par15/0328/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%15/03Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%19/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 15 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 15 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%26/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%2/07
Projected finish9th of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
11
OR 8022/1
Moltophino silks

Agricola Ficomontanino & Leaf Stud

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Profitable - Seraphina (Pips Pride)

Chris Hayes60%1/8J A Kinsella60%
450979
3.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Sole success came in premier handicap at the Curragh last spring. Hasn't kicked on from this season's return, ninth of 20 in the Scurry at the same course 16 days ago, but his mark has at least eased as a result.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/0728/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par14/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 73%25/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 20 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 20 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%14/09Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%28/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 58%18/07
Projected finish10th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
9
OR 7966/1
Leveraging silks

Ms Carmel Lordan

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Dandy Man - Fawaayed (Singspiel)

Robbie Colgan60%1/2S Lavery60%
09610
3.0

Winner of a Dundalk maiden in December, but after 7 months off he faced a stiff task on handicap debut when last of 20 in the Scurry at the Curragh 16 days ago. Drops in grade but still has something to find.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/0927/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%14/09Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 47%27/09Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%5/11Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%19/12Pos 20 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%18/07
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend