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19:30 · Windsor

Talk Sport Radio Handicap

1m 31yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 579/4
Havana Club silks

Mr Eamon Kelly

Havana Club

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Havana Gold - Last Tango (Peintre Celebre)

Finley Marsh70%2/13A Wintle
842641
7.0

Resumed winning ways at Bath (1m, firm) under Finley Marsh 19 days ago. Raised 5 lb but his stable's fine form provides hope for another big run.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par25/035/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%25/03Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%29/04Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 70%29/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%15/07
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 657/1
Chilly Breeze silks

Shelmore Bloodstock

Chilly Breeze

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Ulysses - Humid (Lethal Force)

Billy Loughnane80%Ian Williams
689762
5.0

A fair 5f winner for David Evans in 2024. Little to get excited about since but latest 1m Doncaster second was a big step back in the right direction and Billy Loughnane tends to be a good booking for the yard. Gets the vote.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/0714/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%23/07Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%20/05Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%3/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%23/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 5910/1
Benavente silks

Tmc Services Limited

Benavente

8yo Gelding · 9-3

Twilight Son - Galapagar (Miswaki)

Nicola CurrieG Brown
642381
5.0Class ↓3

Sixth Dundalk success when seeing off 6 rivals in a 7f claimer in March (final run for Denis Hogan). Off 4 months ahead of first run for new yard and he's yet to win on turf.

Class Advantage

13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/0220/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par27/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par20/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par27/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/03projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 55%13/02Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%27/02Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%20/03Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%27/03
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 6520/1
Ararat silks

Mr P Cook

Ararat

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Kodiac - Recife (Giant's Causeway)

J Mitchell60%R Cook & J Bridger60%
764308
3.0Class ↓4

Winner of back-to-back 6f handicaps at Southwell for Robert Cowell last autumn. Best effort since joining present yard when third at Newbury (7f) in June but unable to build on it twice since. Has yet to prove he stays 1m.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par14/055/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par14/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%14/05Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%14/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%23/07
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 555/1
My Ambition silks

The Harrow Racing Club

My Ambition

7yo Gelding · 8-13

Galileo Gold - Rise Up Lotus (Zebedee)

George Bass60%0/10D J Coakley
302394
5.0

Free-going sort. In good form prior to a disappointing run here in early-May. Better than bare result back from a break at Leicester since but needs things to drop right.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0929/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par27/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par29/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%13/09Pos 11 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 11 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 23%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%27/03Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%12/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%4/07
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
6
OR 5310/3
Homme De Fer silks

Wedgewood Estates

Homme De Fer

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Oasis Dream - Femme De Fer (Hamas)

William Carson60%2/11A W Carroll60%
333355
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Won twice on all-weather during the winter. Posted a string of creditable efforts in defeat to start 2026 and the type to bounce back from a rare below-par run last time. First turf start since autumn 2024.

Class Advantage

14/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/01 · mark par14/0127/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/01 · mark par21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par25/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%14/01Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%21/02Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%8/05Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%14/07
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
8
OR 6511/2
Dark Rosa silks

Ms J M D Williams

Dark Rosa

4yo Filly · 9-9

Dark Angel - Rosa Gialla (Diamond Green)

Rob Hornby60%1/5G Nicholls
579836
4.0Class ↓3

Gained first win for her current yard at Wolverhampton (8.6f) last November. Creditable sixth of 13 in handicap back at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 13 days ago and she's 1 lb below that last win mark.

Class Advantage

10/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par10/015/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par26/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par15/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%10/01Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 27%26/04Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%14/06Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%21/07
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 625/1
Flag Carrier silks

Slow Horses

Flag Carrier

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Starspangledbanner - Evies Wish (Holy Roman Emperor)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1Brian Toomey60%
982466
4.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

A fair 7f winner last spring. Pulled too hard on C&D return from 8 months off a fortnight ago but it's of some interest that Oisin Murphy retains the ride.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/0831/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par24/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par2/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par3/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%26/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%24/09Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%3/11Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%20/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 544/1
Havana Tobouggaloo silks

Newton Barn Racing

Havana Tobouggaloo

4yo Filly · 8-12

Havana Gold - Tobouggaloo (Tobougg)

D EganZoe Hawkins60%
802554
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Maiden who went very close to making a successful debut for this yard at Bath on return. Hasn't fully reproduced that form since but latest fourth of 9 at Ffos Las (1¼m, good to firm) was more encouraging. Cheekpieces go on for first time.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/105/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 31y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%14/10Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%17/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%23/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%14/07
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend