15:15 · Catterick

racingtv.com Handicap

1m 4f 13yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 588/15
Hansteen silks

Mrs S Holtby

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Sea The Moon - Hey Little Gorl (Sternkoenig)

Jason Hart60%0/4J & S Quinn
680212
7.0Going 7.0

Improved upped to this trip when a close second on handicap debut at Ripon before capitalising on a good opportunity in a classified event at Pontefract. Beaten only by a Sir Mark Prescott-trained handicap newcomer at Southwell since but could prove vulnerable to a similar type here.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/1023/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%1/10Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%8/04Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 89%23/07
Projected finish1st of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 464/1
Muhib silks

Mr David L Bayliss

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Too Darn Hot - Hameem (Teofilo)

Warren Fentiman60%0/6Olly Williams
344332
7.0

Long-standing maiden but has been proving consistent at around 1½m this year, having no chance with Hansteen in a classified event at Pontefract last time. Entitled to finish much closer to him now back in a handicap on 13 lb better terms.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0522/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 85%11/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%5/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%7/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%17/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
3
OR 4628/1
Project Kinsman silks

James and Susan Cookson

3yo Filly · 8-7

Maxfield - Project Whiskey (Tapizar)

Cam Hardie70%0/2P A Kirby60%
823853
5.0
Cheek pieces

Placed twice at Newcastle in the spring but below form since, finishing a remote third over C&D on turf debut 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0313/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 30%19/03Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%1/05Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%18/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%22/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 59300/1
Halimede silks

Boyden, Flynn, Baxter & Fitzgerald

3yo Filly · 9-6

Sea The Moon - Rayna (Selkirk)

L Morris70%Sir Mark Prescott
988
3.0Going 8.0

From a useful Aga Khan family and likely to leave her all-weather maiden form behind now handicapping/up in trip given her yard's record with 3-y-o handicap debutants (6-20 in the last 12 months).

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/051/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0618/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength70%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%21/05Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 30%1/06Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 42%18/06
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 5718/1
Brunello Breeze silks

Foulrice Park Racing Limited

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Bated Breath - Calima Breeze (Oasis Dream)

Billy Garritty60%0/3L Bailey60%
660757
2.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Often very slowly away and isn't one to be interested in.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/0721/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par9/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par11/03projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%26/07Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%3/09Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%24/01Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%11/03
Projected finish5th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 5018/1
On The Bubble silks

Nathan Mill & Gary Rutherford

5yo Mare · 9-7

Land Force - O Fourlunda (Halling)

C Lee70%Gary Rutherford
395520
4.0

Has a poor strike rate and form of her second over C&D from 6 lb out of the weights looks dubious. Well held at Ayr since.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%21/05Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%22/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 80%15/07Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%20/07
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 45100/1
Spirit Of Tokyo silks

The Tokyo Bay Syndicate And P Kirby

3yo Filly · 8-6

Sergei Prokofiev - Petite Nymphe (Golan)

Aiden Brookes0/2P A Kirby
0786
3.0Class ↓3

No form.

Class Advantage

13/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0123/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/014/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0222/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 10%13/01Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 14%23/01Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 22%4/02Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 17%22/07
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
7
OR 45100/1
N'ion silks

Mrs Julia Rayment

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Le Brivido - Ponte Sanangelo (Authorized)

Shay Farmer60%−5lbIan Williams
85608
2.0

No form.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0323/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 13y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%2/03Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%23/03Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%16/04Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%23/07
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend