13:30 · Ffos Las

Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
3
OR 5716/1
The Feminine Urge silks

The Urge To Win Partnership

4yo Filly · 9-1

Mehmas - Invincible Charm (Invincible Spirit)

S C Cronin60%0/2−5lbG Harris
760732
5.0

Won twice over 5f last season for George Scott and getting closer over 6f of late, unable to reel in Tony Carroll-trained 3-y-o who got first run at Lingfield last time. This is tougher.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/051/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 9%22/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%9/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%25/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav2
OR 705/2
Safari Dream silks

Great Western Racing Ii

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Bungle Inthejungle - Grandmas Dream (Kyllachy)

Oisin Murphy70%1/8B R Millman60%
341753
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Made all at Salisbury in May and best effort since when well backed and third of 6 at Bath 3 weeks ago, coming clear of the others. That form looks solid and he's considered back down in grade in refitted cheekpieces with Oisin Murphy up.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par25/0317/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%25/03Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%23/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 655/2
Monsieur Patat silks

Wackey Racers Harefield

9yo Gelding · 9-9

Coach House - Miss Trish (Danetime)

D Egan0/1A Wintle60%
509327
4.0

Stepped up on his return when second at Newbury (6f, firm) in June, collared in the final 50 yds by one played even later. Left with too much to do following week at Windsor and been given a break. One to consider from good mark.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/0922/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par8/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par6/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%24/09Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%8/11Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%23/06Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%29/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Top Pick1
OR 6916/1
Diamondinthedark silks

Melissa Cooke

3yo Filly · 9-9

Harry Angel - Safe House (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Loughnane70%1/2D M Loughnane60%
218
5.0Going 8.0

Confirmed the promise of her debut effort when scoring at Wolverhampton (6f) in November but struggled on handicap debut/return at Lingfield 9 weeks ago and needs to improve now making first start on turf.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1129/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/114/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%3/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%29/11Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%4/06
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 687/1
Newsreader silks

News Team

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Prince Of Lir - Kaplinsky (Fath)

Rossa Ryan80%A W Carroll70%
236606
3.0Class ↓3

A while since he's hit the headlines (all 3 wins over 7f at Kempton for first trainer Kevin Philippart de Foy) but he's dropped a fair way in the weights and stopped the slide to some extent there (6f) last time. Very well handicapped if new stable can find the key to him.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/088/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par9/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%9/10Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%2/07
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
7
OR 7010/3
Escape Plan silks

Ms V E Macauley

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Ardad - Lamya (Choisir)

K Shoemark60%0/1T Ward60%
427188
3.0
Tongue strap

Gained breakthrough success at Kempton (6f) in March and shaped better than bare result at Bath on latest start in May, eased having been hampered/stumbled. Could yet have more to offer on turf.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0816/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par30/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%29/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%28/02Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 42%4/05Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 13%22/05
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 6216/1
The Coffee Pod silks

Bob & Anne Patrick

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Acclamation - Ethel (Exceed And Excel)

Lewis Edmunds60%0/2W Muir & C Grassick
368875
3.0Class ↓3
Hood

Has fallen a long way in the weights (last win in 5f York handicap 2 years ago for Richard Hannon off 13 lb higher) and got closer than previously this season at Salisbury last time. Down another 2 lb.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/0522/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par13/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%19/05Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%9/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%25/07
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend