4
Half A House
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 67
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Trials · 1f 180y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Canterbury Park | BHA64 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Canterbury Park | BHA58 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |