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21:46 · Saratoga

Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes

7f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
OR 933/1
Naive Melody silks

Averill Racing Llc, Cestaro, James And Armbrust, Chris

Naive Melody

4yo Filly · 8-12

Complexity - Goods And Services (Paynter)

Dylan Davis60%2/2Wesley Ward60%
13111
9.0

Class Advantage

28/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/128/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par12/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%8/02Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%12/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/06
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 987/2
With The Angels silks

Winning Move Stable, Oxley, John C , Lady Sheila Stable, Silverwood Stables And Sanford H Robbins, Llc

With The Angels

4yo Filly · 9-0

Omaha Beach - Sister Margaret (Pulpit)

Jose Ortiz60%4/4Linda Rice60%
221144
6.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

28/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par28/117/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par22/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par3/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 2 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 75%28/11Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%22/01Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%3/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%28/06
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav2
OR 872/1
Landed silks

Lael Stables

Landed

5yo Mare · 9-0

Omaha Beach - Glory Gold (Medaglia D'oro)

John Velazquez60%3/8Wesley Ward60%
134326
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/02 · mark par23/0223/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par28/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par12/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/02Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%4/09Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%12/04Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%3/06
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 1015/2
Usha silks

Pegram, Michael E , Watson, Karl And Weitman, Paul

Usha

4yo Filly · 9-0

Tiz The Law - Animal Appeal (Leroidesanimaux)

Flavien Prat60%0/1Bob Baffert60%
171317
5.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/0918/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par28/12 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par25/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par21/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength99%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 14%21/06
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 9610/3
Munnings Express silks

Team Spoor

Munnings Express

4yo Filly · 8-12

Munnings - Freudie Anne (Freud)

Manuel Franco60%Linda Rice60%
211133
7.0

Class Advantage

21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/0215/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par4/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%21/02Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%4/04Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%25/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%23/07
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 786/1
Iron Orchard silks

Katierich Stables Llc

Iron Orchard

3yo Filly · 8-10

Authentic - Onebrethatatime (Brethren)

Irad Ortiz Jr70%Steven Asmussen60%
11199
6.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a3/0722/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par4/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par31/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par10/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%31/10Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 11%10/07
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
8
OR 799/2
Bam's Bliss Kiss silks

Mad Dog Racing Stable

Bam's Bliss Kiss

4yo Filly · 9-0

Solomini - Kiska (Into Mischief)

Jaime Rodriguez5/5Jorge Abreu60%
111116
6.0

Class Advantage

10/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/1231/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/12 · mark par13/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par28/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%10/12Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%27/06
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 9111/2
Sunday Girl silks

Mitre Box Stable, Clear Stars Stable And Eighth Note Stable

Sunday Girl

5yo Mare · 9-0

Central Banker - Lady Daphne (Harlan's Holiday)

Katie Davis6/13David Duggan80%
346427
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0925/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par7/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%27/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 6 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 17%22/11Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%1/03Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%28/06
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend