19:20 · Leopardstown

Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap

1m 7fGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
3
OR 606/1
He Who Dares silks

S Curling

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Harzand - In The House (Montjeu)

Miss N Lockhead Anderson60%0/2−7lbS Curling
8603
6.0

Much improved when scoring over hurdles at Wexford last month and left his previous efforts in this sphere behind when third of 12 in handicap at Tramore (2m, good) 30 days ago. Big player.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/081/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 38%22/08Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%30/05Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 82%7/07
Projected finish1st of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 764/1
Chutzpal silks

Pimlico Racing Ireland & R Dooly

7yo Gelding · 12-2

Markaz - Bridgets Fable (Champs Elysees)

Mrs Sally Langhard−5lbH De Bromhead80%
331205
4.0
Blinkers

Showed benefit of reappearance when fair fifth of 8 in minor event at Fairyhouse (1¾m, good) 29 days ago. Claims if building on that.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0631/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par20/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 87%27/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 24 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%24/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%8/07
Projected finish2nd of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 766/1
Not Just Any Eagle silks

Mrs Patrick J Flynn

7yo Gelding · 12-2

Free Eagle - Not Just Any Girl (Dylan Thomas)

Mr Cian Murphy60%−7lbP J Flynn
790703
3.0Going 8.0

Third of 8 in a conditions race at Fairyhouse last month but took strong hold and was one paced. Not the easiest to win with these days.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/0919/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%22/09Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%8/04Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 24%12/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%8/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Value2
OR 6333/1
Miss Gitana silks

J Lynch & E Blaney

5yo Mare · 11-3

Nathaniel - Miss Celestial (Exceed And Excel)

Ms S BrothertonJoseph Murray60%
609803
4.0
Tongue strap

Made more impact than previously when good third of 9 in handicap (33/1) over C&D (good to firm) 14 days ago. Experienced amateur booked so warrants respect.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0420/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par31/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 21%25/04Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%31/05Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 64%10/07Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%23/07
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 658/1
Derry Lad silks

Dreamers Alliance Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-5

Epaulette - Romea (Muhtarram)

Kenny Roussety−7lbKevin Coleman80%
990555
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

On a lengthy losing run and failed to build on promise of previous start when fifth of 6 in handicap (8/1) at this course (13f, good) 21 days ago. Mark continues to fall at least.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/031/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par15/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par16/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%6/03Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%15/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%24/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%16/07
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 7412/1
Boxing Great silks

Gibneys Racing Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Midi - Arabian Bride (Raven's Pass)

Mr P J Cawley−7lbK Thornton
551868
2.0
Tongue strap

Won a 2m handicap at Dundalk in December but hasn't looked to have much in hand of his mark when performing creditably without unduly threatening in the finish all 3 starts this year.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par31/1028/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par19/12 · C7 · finish vs mark above19/12 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%31/10Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%19/12Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%12/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%27/06
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 6110/1
Makaiah silks

Lance Bloodstock Limited

5yo Mare · 11-1

Bated Breath - Make Me Sway (Teofilo)

Mr J L Gleeson60%Gerard O'Leary
664020
4.0

Ended 2025 out of sorts but back to form after 6 months off when second of 14 in handicap (17/2) at Roscommon (1½m, good) in May. Not in same form at Ballinrobe since but must enter calculations with top amateur on board.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/0722/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par30/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par16/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%24/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%30/09Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%11/05Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%22/06
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 7218/1
Catalani silks

Donnchadh Doyle

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Lauro - Lemon Love Kid (Lemon Drop Kid)

Miss Emelie Gustavsson−5lbJack Foley
4449
4.0

Point/hunter chase winner but yet to really threaten in a trio of starts on Flat. May do better now switched to handicapping, though.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/044/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%20/04Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%26/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%14/07Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%20/07
Projected finish8th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
9
OR 6366/1
Peace Walk silks

Jason Coleman & E O'Connell

5yo Gelding · 11-3

Cracksman - Hoodna (Invincible Spirit)

Mr J C BarryE O'Connell
856597
2.0

Sold cheaply after losing his way for Charlie Johnston and likely needed the outing, back from 20 months off, when seventh of 10 in claimer (66/1) at Limerick (1½m, good to soft) 57 days ago. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/074/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%7/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%30/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%10/10Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%10/06
Projected finish9th of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
10
OR 40150/1
Supreme Law silks

Ms Maria Kelly

7yo Gelding · 10-7

Lawman - Serendib's Glory (Holy Roman Emperor)

Mr J G Chute−7lbMiss S J Harty
005000
2.0

Long-standing maiden who is easily passed over from 13 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0721/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par5/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 8%7/07Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%23/08Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 24%30/07Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 10%7/08
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend