IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. brighton
  3. race-5

15:30 · Brighton

JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap

6f 210yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 5611/2
Havana Mojito silks

The Leek & Peak Racing Partnership

Havana Mojito

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Havana Grey - Heartsong (Kheleyf)

Ashley Lewis70%−3lbJ Gallagher60%
452222
8.0
Blinkers

All 3 career victories at this course and runner-up 3 times here this season. Again found only one too strong at Doncaster 18 days ago, the winner scoring again since, but he could be ready to return to winning ways.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0425/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%29/04Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 90%29/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%30/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%18/07
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 5711/1
The Organiser silks

Only One Bid Partnership

The Organiser

7yo Gelding · 9-10

Coach House - Poudretteite (Royal Applause)

P Cosgrave0/2M Pattinson60%
467245
5.0Class ↓6
Tongue strap

Successful twice last year, including over 6f here for this yard. Ran well back on turf this season when second at Lingfield (7f) in May and needed a stronger gallop when mid-field at the same venue (all-weather) 23 days ago. One to note from his current mark.

Class Advantage

8/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/12 · mark par8/127/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/01 · mark par26/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readWELL IN
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%8/12Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%26/03Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%15/06Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 5533/1
Berning Hot silks

Dare To Dream & Martyn Cruse

Berning Hot

4yo Filly · 9-8

Raven's Pass - Dream On Me (Kendargent)

Paddy Bradley60%1/2M J Attwater
386260
4.0

Scored over C&D a year ago and left behind a couple of lesser efforts this season when runner-up at Kempton (1m) in May. Down the field the last twice, but she's now below her winning mark back at this course.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par28/014/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par6/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%28/01Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%23/04Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%27/05Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%23/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 589/1
Viking Glory silks

Mr J Owen

Viking Glory

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Cotai Glory - Earth Goddess (Invincible Spirit)

Cieren Fallon80%0/2James Owen80%
530703
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fair form in maiden/novice events for Adrian Keatley. Below par in handicaps on first 3 starts for current yard, but took a step back in the right direction when third of 6 at Yarmouth (6f) 3 weeks ago. Interesting from his easing mark switched to cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/129/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par4/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 56%29/12Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 8%4/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%15/07
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 4633/1
Daley T silks

Mr A W Carroll

Daley T

6yo Gelding · 8-13

Dragon Pulse - Elizabeth Swann (Bahamian Bounty)

Jack Doughty60%0/4A W Carroll60%
658374
4.0
Blinkers

Long-standing maiden but in cheekpieces he went close when third in classified event at this course (5.3f) in June. Not in the same form both starts since, though, switched to blinkers when fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton last time. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par2/037/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%2/03Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%30/04Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%3/07Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%6/07
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 4550/1
Miraflores silks

Mrs Daphne Finch

Miraflores

4yo Filly · 8-12

Zoustar - Lucky Lucrecia (Dansili)

Ryan Kavanagh80%0/1−3lbR Cook & J Bridger60%
587649
2.0

Still looking for a breakthrough victory and, after 5 months off, she went with little encouragement when last of 10 in handicap at Salisbury 15 days ago.

Class Advantage

3/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/01 · mark par3/0110/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par19/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par12/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par25/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%3/01Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 14%19/01Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%25/02Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/07
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 606/1
King Cherry silks

Mr B Piper And Partner

King Cherry

3yo Gelding · 9-7

King Of Change - Nefetari (Kodiac)

Rob Hornby60%S C Williams80%
7586
3.0
Tongue strap

No better than mid-division in his qualifying runs, before possibly needing the outing after 10 weeks off when last of 6 in handicap at Sandown 12 days ago. This should reveal more.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0427/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0415/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0524/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 45%6/04Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%27/04Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%15/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%24/07
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 5928/1
Redredrobin silks

Mr M S Saunders

Redredrobin

9yo Mare · 9-12

Helmet - Cape Rosie (Cape Cross)

Edward Greatrex60%M S Saunders70%
259689
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Without a win for almost 2 years and is yet to fire this season, again well held when last of 9 in handicap at Ffos Las 22 days ago. Cheekpieces reached for.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/0615/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par29/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%7/06Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 11%10/07Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 22%29/05Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%14/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
9
OR 5311/1
Quite Sweet silks

Wedgewood Estates

Quite Sweet

4yo Filly · 9-6

Rio De La Plata - Shoyd (Showcasing)

William Carson0/2A W Carroll
817609
2.0

Off the mark making her second handicap start at Southwell (1m) in October. However, she's gone the wrong way in 3 starts this year, returning from 6 months off when always behind at Wolverhampton (7f) 22 days ago.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1024/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par2/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/12 · mark par6/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par23/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 210y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%6/10Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 45%2/12Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%23/01Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%14/07
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend