19:00 · Sligo

Guinness Handicap

1m 5f 56yGoing TBC3YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 6611/2
Chicago Moon silks

Samuel M Mencoff & Anthony Paul Smurfit

3yo Filly · 10-0

Sea The Moon - Chicago Dancer (Azamour)

Billy Lee60%1/4H De Bromhead70%
93751
5.0
Cheek pieces

Built on her turf/handicap debut when winning 14-runner handicap at Killarney (11.3f, good, 11/2) 23 days ago by 2½ lengths from Canon Law, kept up to work. Hit with 9 lb rise but remains unexposed.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0127/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%28/01Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%27/02Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%1/04Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%12/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%13/07
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 6313/2
Private Larry silks

Ruth McCreery

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Inns Of Court - New To Wexford (New Approach)

Gavin Ryan1/2A McIntyre
000881
6.0
Hood

Showed improved form to get off the mark in 1½m handicap at Bellewstown in July. Promising third on Killarney hurdling debut subsequently and remains of interest back in this sphere.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0330/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/03 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 20 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 14%15/03Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 46%1/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 82%17/07
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav2
OR 609/2
Queen Of Astolat silks

Patrick John O'Brien

3yo Filly · 9-8

Camelot - Pearl Of The Night (Sea The Stars)

J M Sheridan60%D Hogan
578633
4.0

Maiden who did nothing quickly when third of 4 in handicap at Yarmouth (1¾m, good to firm) 40 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Charlie Fellowes. Needs more.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/1011/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%15/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%27/12Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%11/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%26/06
Projected finish3rd of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
6
OR 437/1
Canon Law silks

Martin Hayes & Peter Slezak

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Waldgeist - Oh Sedulous (Lawman)

Rory Cleary0/2B W Duke
506625
4.0

Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap (7/1) at Cork (1½m, good to firm) 12 days ago. Not taken lightly despite being 2 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par20/101/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par22/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%20/10Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 62%22/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%13/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%24/07
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 6313/2
Sonny Corleone silks

Soft Seats Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Elzaam - Upper Silesian (Lawman)

Chris Hayes60%0/1G Elliott80%
0447
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Looked a potential improver but disappointed when seventh of 11 in handicap at Dundalk (1½m) 24 days ago. First-time blinkers may help him travel with more fluency.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1128/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0129/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0512/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 31%26/11Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 77%28/01Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%29/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%12/07
Projected finish5th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
11
OR 4518/1
Curious Jane silks

J Acheson

3yo Filly · 8-7

Kuroshio - Jane Austen (Galileo)

Rory Mulligan60%Ciaran Murphy60%
00095
2.0
Cheek pieces

Maiden who again ran to just a poor level in first-time cheekpieces when fifth of 9 in handicap at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good, 18/1) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/1228/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%12/12Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 15%28/01Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%25/04Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 43%18/06Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%20/07
Projected finish6th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 6325/1
Mare Crisium silks

Aprilis Partnership

3yo Filly · 9-11

Sea The Moon - Skill Set (Mastercraftsman)

Max Popan60%0/1−10lbK J Condon
68594
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden who showed something like debut form when fourth of 9 on handicap bow at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0519/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%3/05Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%19/05Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 64%19/06Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%8/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%20/07
Projected finish7th of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 47200/1
Elzaam Express silks

Short Straw Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Elzaam - Briarfield Lass (Gale Force Ten)

Nathan CrosseG P Cromwell90%
500
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Well held in a trio of maidens and not really bred to appreciate this longer trip on handicap debut. Cheekpieces on for 1st time.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/0518/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/06projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%11/05Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%18/05Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 8%5/06
Projected finish8th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
9
OR 5725/1
Grey Intentions silks

Thomas J Quinn & Brian P Whelan

3yo Filly · 9-5

Sottsass - Hug And A Kiss (Thewayyouare)

Jamie Powell0/2E & P Harty90%
07060
2.0
1st Blinkers +3Cheek pieces

Ran poorly in first-time cheekpieces when tenth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (10.5f, good) 68 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0729/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 45%29/09Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 21%12/04Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%3/05Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%29/05
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 6118/1
Cascade Canyon silks

Atomic Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Coulsty - Valdiyana (Sinndar)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%Kevin Coleman70%
60409
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Ninth of 12 in maiden at Limerick (12.3f, heavy, 18/1) 47 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Has work to do.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0325/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 58%30/03Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%25/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%8/05Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%10/06Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%19/06
Projected finish10th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
10
OR 54100/1
Ellens Bay silks

Mrs Emily Murphy

3yo Filly · 9-2

Galileo Gold - Semper Fi (Royal Applause)

Luke McAteer0/1Ciaran Murphy
000
2.0

Down the field in a trio of maidens and decent step forward required now handicapping over a longer trip.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/1011/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0230/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 56y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 23%29/10Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%11/02Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 18%30/06
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend