15:33 · Newmarket

Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2mGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 797/2
High Fibre silks

Think Big Partnership

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Vadamos - Multi Grain (Sir Percy)

Cieren Fallon80%James Owen60%
678063
6.0Going 8.0
Visor

Fair winning hurdler for Harry Fry who shaped encouragingly on stable debut when third in handicap at York (1½m) last month. Built on that effort when landing the Summer Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen 19 days ago and there could still be better to come back on the Flat.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par23/0330/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/03 · mark par6/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par20/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%23/03Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%6/04Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%10/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 5
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 835/2
Minhad silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Universal - Aussie View (Australia)

K S McHugh60%1/2−7lbI Mohammed & J Santos60%
420154
5.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

Made a winning return at Thirsk (1½m) in April and has continued in good heart both starts since, unsuited by way the race developed when fourth of 8 at Sandown (1¾m) last month. Major player with cheekpieces added up in trip.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/0812/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par10/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%28/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%10/10Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%13/05Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%3/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav2
OR 787/4
Koala Rose silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

3yo Filly · 8-13

Australia - Summer Surprice (Le Havre)

H Crouch60%0/1R M Beckett60%
3322
7.0Going 7.0

Has taken her form up to a fairly useful level in 3 starts this season, beaten only by a well-in rival in 3-runner handicap at Newbury (13.3f) 20 days ago. Enters calculations as she goes up in distance.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/1216/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0519/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0617/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%20/12Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%16/05Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 89%19/06Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%17/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 7610/3
Imperial Sovereign silks

James and Susan Cookson

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Frankel - Imperial Charm (Dubawi)

Billy Loughnane90%0/1P A Kirby
437642
5.0Class ↓4

Remains without a win since debut but produced his best effort this season when second of 6 at Chester (14.4f) last month, the winner scoring again next time. On a workable mark if able to build on latest effort.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/0426/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%9/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%8/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%27/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%11/07
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 827/1
Percy Shelley silks

Johnstone Partnership

7yo Gelding · 10-1

Sir Percy - She's Gorgeous (Acclamation)

George Wood60%0/1James Owen
222246
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Scored over hurdles for this yard last autumn and creditable efforts in his 2 outings on the Flat this season, 4 lengths sixth of 9 in handicap at Sandown (1¾m) in June. Back over hurdles, unsuited by the drop to 17f in that sphere at Cartmel 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/106/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%24/10Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 6 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 6 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 38%13/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish5th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend