3

Holliewood

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 78

Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Trials · 1f 180y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA67 @ Canterbury Park 26/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 1f130y Slo 124 · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 67 par26/0667OR 67BHA79 @ Canterbury Park 11/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 79 · 1f130y 124 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 79 par11/0779OR 79BHA78 @ Canterbury Park 08/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 78 par8/0878OR 78BHA80 @ Canterbury Park 21/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 1f130y Fas 124 · below its mark21/08/2025 · OR 80 par21/0880OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-21Canterbury ParkBHA803rd3rd0
2025-08-08Canterbury ParkBHA781st1st0
2025-07-11Canterbury ParkBHA792nd2nd0
2025-06-26Canterbury ParkBHA671st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0611/078/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
11/07/20252nd8/1397%88%-0.09
08/08/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
21/08/20253rd7/282%67%-0.15