3

Holliewood
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 78
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Trials · 1f 180y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-21 | Canterbury Park | BHA80 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Canterbury Park | BHA78 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Canterbury Park | BHA79 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Canterbury Park | BHA67 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |