7
Spicy Cartel
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 54
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Trials · 1f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Canterbury Park | BHA57 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Canterbury Park | BHA44 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Canterbury Park | BHA44 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 6/5 | 94% | 14% | -0.79 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |